100,000 simulated tournaments
Projections
Most likely to win the pool — and projected to score the most. Not the same thing.
Chance to win = how often a bracket finishes 1st across every simulated tournament. Projected points = its average final score. They split when a popular champion is shared by several brackets — when that team wins they all jump together, so each wins outright less often.
Sort by
- proj 161 pts 17% to win champ shared ×4 ★🇫🇷FRA🇦🇷ARG 🇪🇸ESP
- proj 146 pts 14% to win ★🏴ENG🇫🇷FRA 🇦🇷ARG
- proj 167 pts 12% to win champ shared ×5 ★🇦🇷ARG🇫🇷FRA 🇧🇷BRA
- proj 167 pts 12% to win champ shared ×5 ★🇦🇷ARG🇫🇷FRA 🇧🇷BRA
- proj 126 pts 12% to win ★🇲🇽MEX🇪🇸ESP 🇦🇷ARG
- proj 151 pts 8.1% to win champ shared ×5 ★🇦🇷ARG🇫🇷FRA 🇵🇹POR
- proj 155 pts 8.0% to win champ shared ×4 ★🇫🇷FRA🇦🇷ARG 🇺🇸USA
- proj 150 pts 5.8% to win champ shared ×5 ★🇦🇷ARG🇫🇷FRA 🏴ENG
- proj 137 pts 3.6% to win champ shared ×5 ★🇦🇷ARG🇪🇸ESP 🇩🇪GER
- proj 133 pts 3.2% to win champ shared ×4 ★🇫🇷FRA🇦🇷ARG 🇲🇽MEX
- proj 147 pts 2.4% to win champ shared ×4 ★🇫🇷FRA🇦🇷ARG 🇪🇸ESP
- proj 110 pts 2.3% to win ★🇳🇱NED🇳🇴NOR 🇦🇷ARG