The model vs the field
Title Odds
Each nation's chance to lift the trophy โ 100,000 simulations off live Elo ratings.
1
Who Wins It All
nation title odds ๐ฆ๐ทArgentina 26%
๐ซ๐ทFrance 23%
๐ช๐ธSpain 20%
๐ง๐ทBrazil 8.4%
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟEngland 6.9%
๐จ๐ดColombia 4.8%
๐ต๐นPortugal 2.5%
๐ฒ๐ฝMexico 1.7%
๐ฒ๐ฆMorocco 1.5%
๐ณ๐ดNorway 1.0%
๐จ๐ญSwitzerland 0.9%
๐ง๐ชBelgium 0.7%
๐ญ๐ทCroatia 0.5%
๐ช๐จEcuador 0.5%
๐จ๐ฆCanada 0.5%
๐ต๐พParaguay 0.4%
๐บ๐ธUnited States 0.4%
๐ธ๐ณSenegal 0.3%
๐ฆ๐นAustria 0.1%
๐ฆ๐บAustralia 0.1%
๐ฉ๐ฟAlgeria 0.1%
2
How The Field Picked
champion ยท 12 brackets ๐ฆ๐ทArgentina 5 ยท model 26%
๐ซ๐ทFrance 4 ยท model 23%
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟEngland 1 ยท model 6.9%
๐ฒ๐ฝMexico 1 ยท model 1.7%
๐ณ๐ฑNetherlands 1 ยท model 0.0%
โ๏ธ
Value & Longshots
pick vs model ๐ฆ๐ทArgentina
5 backers
26% to win chalk
๐ซ๐ทFrance
4 backers
23% to win chalk
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟEngland
1 backer
6.9% to win fair
๐ฒ๐ฝMexico
1 backer
1.7% to win longshot
๐ณ๐ฑNetherlands
1 backer
0.0% to win longshot